Orion Energy Systems Stock Performance

OESX Stock  USD 11.12  0.50  4.30%   
The company holds a Beta of 1.09, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Orion Energy returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Orion Energy is expected to follow. At this point, Orion Energy Systems has a negative expected return of -0.45%. Please make sure to check Orion Energy's standard deviation, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and day median price , to decide if Orion Energy Systems performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Orion Energy Systems has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(4.26)
Five Day Return
(6.63)
Year To Date Return
(25.52)
Ten Year Return
(21.13)
All Time Return
(94.81)
Last Split Factor
1:10
Last Split Date
2025-08-22
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Begin Period Cash Flow5.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities128 K

Orion Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,648  in Orion Energy Systems on November 30, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (536.00) from holding Orion Energy Systems or give up 32.52% of portfolio value over 90 days. Orion Energy Systems is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 6.236% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 56% of stocks are less volatile than Orion, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Orion Energy is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 8.22 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.07 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Orion Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Orion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.12 90 days 11.12 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orion Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Orion Energy Systems probability density function shows the probability of Orion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.09 . This indicates Orion Energy Systems market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Orion Energy is expected to follow. Additionally Orion Energy Systems has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Orion Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Orion Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orion Energy Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Orion Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.7310.9717.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.5313.7720.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.3612.6018.84
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.0222.0024.42
Details

Orion Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orion Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orion Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orion Energy Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orion Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.09
σ
Overall volatility
1.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Orion Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orion Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orion Energy Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Orion Energy Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Orion Energy Systems has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 79.72 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 24.45 M.
About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from upi.com: Artemis II completes countdown test, prepares for launch

Orion Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Orion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Orion Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orion Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.3 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

Orion Energy Fundamentals Growth

Orion Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Orion Energy, and Orion Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Orion Stock performance.

About Orion Energy Performance

Evaluating Orion Energy's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Orion Energy has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Orion Energy has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 80.39  112.68 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.29)(0.27)
Return On Capital Employed(0.48)(0.45)
Return On Assets(0.26)(0.25)
Return On Equity(1.14)(1.08)

Things to note about Orion Energy Systems performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Orion Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Orion Energy Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Orion Energy Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Orion Energy Systems has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 79.72 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 24.45 M.
About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from upi.com: Artemis II completes countdown test, prepares for launch
Evaluating Orion Energy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Orion Energy's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Orion Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Orion Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Orion Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Orion Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Orion Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Orion Energy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Orion Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Orion Energy's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Orion Energy's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Orion Stock Analysis

When running Orion Energy's price analysis, check to measure Orion Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orion Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Orion Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orion Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orion Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orion Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.